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Each unit costs approximately US$1,800 to build at present. We plan to significantly reduce this amount once we start mass production with a target price of below US$500 each.
To offset 500 million tonnes of CO₂ a year, we will need to deploy 100 million DAC Everywhere™ units at a cost of US$100 billion, a target achievable by 2035.
Our current estimate is that it will cost US$200 billion to build 200 million bioreactors to remove a billion tonnes of CO₂ from the air annually. This will be a one-time cost for manufacturing 200 million DAC Everywhere™ units to be deployed around the world. We expect deployment costs to be an additional 20% on top of the $200 billion price tag.
There were almost 15 billion operating mobile devices in 2021, according to www.statista.com. This number is expected to reach over 18 billion by 2025.
Number of mobile devices worldwide 2020-2025 | Statista
Assuming a global CO₂ emission rate of 40 billion tonnes per year, it would take 8 billion bioreactors to single-handedly reach net zero by removing all 40 billion tonnes of CO₂ generated, 10 billion units less than the over 18 billion mobile devices expected to be in use by 2025.
As many countries around the world struggle to reach their net zero goals by 2050, we may be closer to reaching those goals if we are able to scale up manufacturing of our bioreactors to closely match the rate at which the world produces mobile devices.
At a cost of US$1000 per unit, and at a rate of 8 billion units, the cost to manufacture enough bioreactors to reach net zero through our project alone is a one-time US$8 trillion investment.
This $8 trillion estimate does not include operational and other capital expenses, and only covers the cost of manufacturing the 8 billion units needed to reach net zero through our network of bioreactors.
However, as we scale up manufacturing, and increase our R&D in bioreactor design, our units will decrease in cost and increase in the amount of CO₂ each unit removes from the air, significantly decreasing the cost to reach net zero to less than the initial US$8 trillion price tag.
According to a recent report by McKinsey, "the transformation of the global economy needed to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 would be universal and significant, requiring $9.2 trillion in annual average spending on physical assets, $3.5 trillion more than today. " That's $9.2 trillion in spending every year for the next quarter of a century to reach net zero by 2050.
For the purposes of our hypothetical analysis to reach net zero on our own, and assuming approximately 10,000 cities worldwide, we would need to place approximately 800,000 bioreactors in each city, in densely populated areas, on top of buildings, and along transportation routes. This amount of bioreactors would be effectively able to remove approximately 40 billion tonnes of CO₂, getting us to net zero.
Obviously, the density spread of our bioreactors' deployment would be dependent on population density and area of each city; some of the larger, more densely populated cities will naturally be able to handle a larger network of bioreactors.
There are approximately 195 countries on Earth. With our project, every nation will be able to control the number of bioreactors they put online; if every nation puts on the number of bioreactors needed to negate their annual carbon emissions, we believe we will be able to reach net zero in the shortened time frame needed to keep global temperatures at or below the 1.5 °C called for in the Paris Agreement.
Local governments around the world will play a big role; with our project, we will need to place our bioreactors in thousands of cities, towns and municipalities around the world, making local governments, and their national partners, an integral part of our project's scalability.
At a cost of US$1000 per unit, and at a rate of 8 billion units, the cost to manufacture enough bioreactors to reach net zero through our project alone is a one-time US$8 trillion investment.
This $8 trillion estimate does not include operational and other capital expenses, and only covers the cost of manufacturing the 8 billion units needed to reach net zero through our network of bioreactors.
However, as we scale up manufacturing, and increase our R&D in bioreactor design, our units will decrease in cost and increase in the amount of CO₂ each unit removes from the air, significantly decreasing the cost to reach net zero to less than the initial US$8 trillion price tag.
These numbers are huge numbers, of course, but in the context of our ability as humans to build smart phones in the billions, we believe humanity is capable of building our little bioreactors in the billions as well. This is how we are:
Thinking big by building small.
According to a recent report by McKinsey, "the transformation of the global economy needed to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 would be universal and significant, requiring $9.2 trillion in annual average spending on physical assets, $3.5 trillion more than today. "
That's $9.2 trillion in spending each year for the next quarter of a century to reach net zero by 2050.
That's a total of $230 trillion in spending to reach net zero by 2050, compared to approximately $8 trillion to reach net zero through our project alone.
McKinsey estimates it will cost $9.2 trillion a year, every year for the next twenty-five years, to have any hope of reaching net zero. Our project requirement is a small fraction of this cost and is capable of making a significant dent in the quest for net zero.
This is how we forge a pathway for us to achieve net zero emissions faster and at a lower cost.
With enough of our DAC Everywhere™ bioreactors online and deployed globally, theoretically, our network has the capability of achieving global net zero on its own. We used a hypothetical scenario above whereby our network of bioreactors was solely responsible for getting us to net zero. However, this was for demonstration purposes only.
Thankfully, we aren't addressing the climate change problem on our own; while every effort needs to continue to be made to reduce and capture emissions, and to reduce our dependence on fossil fuels, we also need to address many other issues such as conserving our ecosystems and maintaining Earth's biodiversity.
The climate crisis is a multi-faceted problem requiring many concurrent efforts by individuals, organizations, governments and corporations around the world.
People around the world are coming together to try to find unique, innovative ways to help mitigate the climate crisis.
As we are able to scale up manufacturing, our contribution to the global effort to reach net zero will increase with each bioreactor we deploy; as stakeholders around the world work to reduce or remove their CO₂ emissions, our efforts will be in conjunction with all other efforts to reduce the global carbon footprint, such as the use of alternative fuels, reforestation, and the development of low carbon products and supply chains.
By definition, climate change is a global problem, and we should all be a part of the solution.
With our project, each country, each state, region, county and municipality can have complete control over their net carbon CO₂ output. As we scale up our manufacturing capacity, our initiative can remove as much CO₂ from the air as our manufacturing capacity allows; we can build a network of 8 billion reactors globally to reach net zero, or we can build 800 million to achieve 10% of this goal.
These efforts will work concurrently and in conjunction with all other global efforts to reach net zero, including government and corporate policies and initiatives to reduce our global carbon footprint.
With our project, we can bring back an equilibrium between humans and nature, industry and the natural world, ensuring a healthy planet for future generations.
As the world continues its efforts to reduce its dependency on fossil fuels, there continue to be some industries that have not yet found a cleaner, more renewable energy resource such as the airline industry and commercial shipping; the world will continue to have some dependence on fossil fuels for the foreseeable future, but with our project, we can mitigate the CO₂ emissions from these industries, bringing more balance to our global climate.
Large scale Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) facilities are resource intensive, requiring large plots of land and large amounts of capital, as well as the time it takes from the pre-feasibility study to the Engineering, Procurement and Construction stages to bringing these facilities online and getting them operational. Furthermore, they can take a lot of energy to operate. They are effective, but we need to build tens of thousands of these facilities to impact global emissions.
Simply put, they are too big, too slow and too costly.
For example, using statistics from the largest carbon capture and storage facility in the world, the Orca facility in Iceland:
We expect each machine to cost less than US$500 as we scale up; however, to use conservative estimates for this exercise, we are assuming a cost of US$1,000 per unit, and each unit capturing only 1 tonne of CO₂ per year.
Using the same amount of capital expenditure of US$10-15 million that the Orca facility in Iceland cost to build, we could expect the following:
Excluding the cost of manufacturing our bioreactors, additional capital expenditures will be required. These include the following:
We expect operational expenses to be country-specific, as each country has its own labor laws, its own workforce, and its own economy with country-specific market forces at work.
As we create jobs by the thousands, we will need a skilled workforce to fill a variety of roles in numerous capacities.
Some of these include:
Job creation potentials as we transition towards mass production are huge. We plan to set up operations in countries around the world, hiring a local workforce and creating thousands of jobs in the process.
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